I'll start just by saying that I'm not going to pretend that i know who RJ is. I'm just going to spitball a bunch of ideas/theories and see what you guys think.
Do you guys make anything of the last episode seeming to put an emphasis on Patrick urging Lisbon to "bend the rules"? It seemed to me like they were trying to make that be something important for the future. Like maybe Patrick is gradually going to try and get Lisbon to break more and more rules so that they can catch RJ or something. Maybe it didn't mean anything, but it just seemed like they were trying to highlight that.
My thoughts on Kirkland: I have a feeling that Kirkland will be one of those guys who will be thought of as a bad guy until the very end when we find out that he is an integral part of catching Red John and helping Patrick. I think he will be very secretive, they'll make him seem like he is plotting against Patrick, but then he turns out to be a friend who was only trying to keep up with the investigation and help Patrick, but had to be secretive so that Red John wouldn't find out...or somewhere along those lines...
My thoughts on Mashburn: Obviously, a lot of Mashburn's traits line up with Red John (money, manipulation, intelligence, connections, some personality traits...). A couple of things bother me with Mashburn being Red John though. I think Mashburn is a little too obvious to be RJ, first of all. Secondly, Lorelei wondered why Patrick and RJ didn't become fast friends, but Patrick and Mashburn have spent a decent amount of time together and had fun together, so that seems a little off...Another thing that would bother me about Mashburn being RJ is just that I don't think the actor playing Mashburn can really pull off being a "bad guy" if you can understand what I'm saying...He just doesn't seem like the serial killer type. Now, you could say that my reasoning would make him a great RJ because you don't suspect somebody like that to be a killer, but still, i just wouldn't like it.
My thoughts on Stiles: Bret Stiles, I think, is a perfect "bad guy" unlike Mashburn's character...Unfortunately, I think that he is also wayyy to obvious of a pick to be RJ. Maybe I'm looking too much into it by thinking these guys are obvious, but I don't know. I liked somebody else's theory that maybe RJ is a visualize member and that Bret has seen his video confessions about killing. I think that would be a good storyline, and it doesn't seem too obvious.
Thoughts on Patrick: Before finding this website, I had thought about "what if RJ is Patrick"? I've gone through many scenarios of how it could be him...A few are possible, but I would HATE if Patrick turned out to be RJ, so I hope its not him...One thing I was just thinking about was: what if Patrick really was RJ and Kirkland knew about it, and thats why they had the whole handshake/"I know YOU" thing because Kirkland KNOWS that Patrick is RJ, but still hasn't got enough evidence...and so while all of the fans think that Patrick is hunting Kirkland as RJ, it turns out that Kirkland is actually hunting Patrick because HE is the real RJ...I don't actually think that will be the case, but I just thought I'd throw that out there...
Max Winter: I think that Max Winter could be a good choice for RJ. He can definitely pull of the "is he good or bad" thing because that's what his character on the show "Heroes" was. He was trying to do good, but a lot of the time, he did more bad than good...You didn't really know what to think of him. I think he can definitely pull off being a bad guy, he's not toooo obvious, and there are tangible facts that can point to him being RJ (wedding ring, marksman, smart, manipulative, probably has the money to do all of it, etc)...Max is definitely one of the few people who I wouldn't be disappointed with being Red John.
Women: forgive me if this sounds sexist or whatever, but I don't think that Red John is a woman, so I wont analyze any of them as possible RJ's, but I will say that I'm sure there are a few women characters that we know who will turn out to be RJ accomplices. Grace Van Pelt is definitely a possible RJ helper along with Darcy and Brenda (the red heads)
Brett Partridge: ehhhhh...I don't know what to think of Partridge...I think the whole "blood spatter serial killer" belongs to Dexter and that would be kind of lame is RJ was the same thing. He could definitely be linked to RJ, but I tend to think that he is not the actual RJ.
Bertram: Can't really see RJ being Bertram...a pawn of RJ, maybe, but not RJ himself...he seems a little too weak to be RJ. I can definitely see Bertram as being somebody who doesn't want to help RJ, but has no choice sort of thing, like a helpless pawn....
Laroche: I would be a little disappointed if JJ was Red John...I just can't picture a man of that size running down women and killing them the way RJ does...
Cho/Rigsby: Can't really see either of them being RJ...neither of their characters really seem like they could pull it off...I don't think it would make for a good story or be that clever if it was one of them...I think they're both really trying to help.
All that being said...My best guess would probably be that Max Winter is Red John
What do you guys think about all of my ideas?
By the way, is anybody else as disappointed with season 5 as I am? Every week I keep thinking "ok, this week is going to mean something and talk about RJ, but then every week I end up disappointed..."