It's Patrick Jane under the influence of Bret Stiles. The show is called the "Mentalist" which revolves around hypnosis and keen observations to a persons behavior...
1. Jane has proven to already have been mentally unstable (had a breakdown)
2. Red John is afraid of heights, Jane was "bitchin up" when he was on the church roof
3. Bret Stiles seems to always know when Red John is about to strike/has stricken
4. The bloody smiley face has Jane's eyes
5. If it's anyone else, I've wasted six (6) years of my life
